tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-613387965721174471.post252889644377946787..comments2021-04-01T15:55:18.206-04:00Comments on the Wood between Worlds: The Monty Hall Problem, Bayes Theorem, and a fault in NumberphileReecehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10691425406901685427noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-613387965721174471.post-49467229408654727952018-02-28T15:48:05.927-05:002018-02-28T15:48:05.927-05:00I think the reason that this so-called problem or ...I think the reason that this so-called problem or paradox causes so much head-scratching is because there are actually two games and mixing the probabilities together leads you into error:<br /><br />GAME 1: can the contestant pick the car when there are 3 doors (they have a 1/3 chance). If they do, the 3 door game ends. If they don't, then Monty removes a door and game 2 (a 2 door game) Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-613387965721174471.post-79381599259964641102018-01-29T00:20:09.502-05:002018-01-29T00:20:09.502-05:00I remember when the Monty Hall Problem was first p...I remember when the Monty Hall Problem was first posed to me and I thought there was no difference in the choice, just going on what I thought was common sense. It is somewhat of a meditation to delve into and to realize that at the beginning all three doors do have an equal probability and our minds want to regard that probability as unchanging as if that probability is an almost a frozen Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com